Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.000070 0.000084 0.000098 0.000115 0.000134 0.000154 0.000177
2025-03-16 0.000053 0.000071 0.000091 0.000115 0.000144 0.000177 0.000216
2025-03-23 0.000044 0.000063 0.000086 0.000116 0.000152 0.000194 0.000245
2025-03-30 0.000036 0.000056 0.000081 0.000115 0.000157 0.000208 0.000272
2025-04-06 0.000029 0.000049 0.000076 0.000112 0.000159 0.000217 0.000292
2025-04-13 0.000026 0.000046 0.000075 0.000115 0.000168 0.000235 0.000322
2025-04-20 0.000021 0.000040 0.000069 0.000110 0.000167 0.000239 0.000336
2025-04-27 0.000018 0.000037 0.000066 0.000110 0.000171 0.000250 0.000357
2025-05-04 0.000015 0.000034 0.000063 0.000109 0.000175 0.000261 0.000379
2025-05-11 0.000014 0.000033 0.000064 0.000113 0.000184 0.000278 0.000409
2025-05-18 0.000012 0.000031 0.000062 0.000114 0.000189 0.000291 0.000434
2025-05-25 0.000010 0.000027 0.000058 0.000110 0.000188 0.000295 0.000445
2025-06-01 0.000008 0.000024 0.000055 0.000108 0.000190 0.000303 0.000466
2025-06-08 0.000007 0.000022 0.000053 0.000108 0.000194 0.000315 0.000490
2025-06-15 0.000006 0.000021 0.000052 0.000109 0.000200 0.000329 0.000518
2025-06-22 0.000005 0.000019 0.000050 0.000108 0.000202 0.000339 0.000540
2025-06-29 0.000003 0.000017 0.000047 0.000105 0.000202 0.000344 0.000556
2025-07-06 0.000003 0.000016 0.000047 0.000108 0.000210 0.000362 0.000589
2025-07-13 0.000002 0.000014 0.000043 0.000104 0.000207 0.000363 0.000599
2025-07-20 0.000002 0.000013 0.000042 0.000103 0.000210 0.000373 0.000621
2025-07-27 0.000001 0.000012 0.000040 0.000102 0.000213 0.000383 0.000644
2025-08-03 0.000001 0.000011 0.000041 0.000106 0.000222 0.000402 0.000680
2025-08-10 0.000001 0.000011 0.000040 0.000107 0.000228 0.000416 0.000708